Overrated Fantasy Players

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Every season there are players who are taken too early in the draft for various reasons.  This does not mean these players are bad players or that you should not draft them.  These hyped players will not give you the bang for your pick or your auction dollars that other players might give you.  Here is my list of players that I consider to be overrated.

1)  QB Aaron Rodgers- Packers
Rodgers is a great player.  I have ranked as my 4 best QB and should be taken in the middle of the first round.  In many mock drafts, Rodgers is going in the mid first round as the first quarterback taken.  Aaron was sacked 50 times last year.  He is likely to get injured if he continues to get pounded.  

2)  RB DeAngelo Williams- Carolina Panthers
Williams had a great fantasy season in 2008-  1,515 rushing yards with 18 touchdowns.  He had an average season in 2009- 1,117 rushing yards and 7 touchdowns.  Stewart is another year more mature and should continue to steal carries.  This year they have Matt Moore as their starting QB and if things go badly, rookie Jimmy Clausen.  I expect 8 men in the box all year round.  He is currently going in the late first round to early second round.  He should be drafted in the late second to early third round.


3)  WR Larry Fitzgerald- Cardinals
There is a huge difference in Kurt Warner being your QB and Matt Leinart.  I have watched a some of the Cardinals preseason games and I will be down grading their whole team.  Fitz may be the best receiver in the NFL but he will have to demonstrate it continually to justify the early second round pick.  I would move him to the end of the second round to be a decent value.

4) RB Chris “Beanie” Wells - Cardinals
As stated above, this team will not be the same without Kurt Warner.  He is going at the end of the third round as the 15th overall runningback.  He is going all most a hundred picks before Tim Hightower and Hightower is ahead of Wells on the depth carth.  

5)  Jets Defense
There is no doubt that the Jets have a great defense.  Even the best defenses should not be drafted in the first 10 rounds.  The Jets are going in the middle of the 6th round.  Stop the insanity.

6)  WR Chad OchoCinco- Bengals
Chad may benefit from T.O. being in Cincinnati.  I doubt he will benefit enough to justify the middle fourth pick when T.O. is going in the middle seventh round.  Chad only  had a 1,166 yard and 5 TD season last year.  

7)  RB LeSean McCoy- Eagles
Do you think the Eagles will run the ball?  Really?  I like McCoy and think he does have potential especially catching the ball out of the backfield.  But I do not see value in picking him at the end of the thrid or beginning of the fourth round.

The Counselor is OUT:

Who to take with the #1 overall pick?

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Who to take with the #1 overall pick?

You can make the case for a few different guys.  I will discuss three different guys. In a few lines I will give you the reasons you should chose of these guys and then why you might want to chose someone else.

1)  Chris Johnson- RB- Tennessee Titians- 24 years old.  

    Positive:
Johnson is the top contender for the number one spot.  He rushed for 2,006 yards, 16 touchdowns, and an NFL-record 2,509 yards from scrimmage in 2009.  He rushed for more than 100 yards in 11 consecutive games.

   Negative:
358 carries.  That is the number of carries that Johnson had last year.  Historically this large number of carries.  Most of the runningbacks who have had 350+ carries during one season will have a much more pedestrian season the next year.  Sometimes the player ends up with an injury plagued season.  


2) Adrian Peterson- RB- Minnesota Vikings- 25 years old.

    Positive:
Peterson is a competitive running back who is on a great team with Brett Favre.  Favre forces the defense to respect the pass and this will give All Day some running room.  Peterson has been a top 5 fantasy player over the last three seasons.  He had 18 touchdowns last season.

   Negative:
FUMBLE!  Peterson has had a bad case of the fumbles with 16 over the last 2 seasons.  His rushing yards per carry has gone down every season.


3)  Maurice Jones- Drew- RB- Jacksonville Jaguars- 25 years old.

    Positive:  
Maurice is a well rounded back who is coming into his own.  Last season he had 1,391 yards on 312 carries with 15 TDs.  He also had 53 receptions for 374 yards and one TD.  I look for Jones-Drew to have a break out season this year.

   Negative:
He is not the home run hitter that Johnson is.  He is not the power back of Peterson.  He appears  to be at the level below.




When weighing out the positives and negatives, I would personally draft Peterson number 1.  I understand the rationale for drafting any of these three at overall number 1 slot.

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Fantasy Football Defense List

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Below is my cheatsheets for Defenses. The highlighted rows are the start of new Tiers. Remember that Defenses and Kickers are inconsistent in value and should be saved until the end of the draft to pick.



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Fantasy Football Kicker List

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Below is my cheatsheets for Kickers. The highlighted rows are the start of new Tiers. Remember that Defenses and Kickers are inconsistent in value and should be saved until the end of the draft to pick.



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Fantasy Football TE List

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Below is my cheatsheets for Tight Ends. The highlighted rows are the start of new Tiers.



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