FSC- Standard QB Rankings 2009

The Counselor is IN:

Rank	QB	Team	Tier	Bye
1	Peyton Manning	Colts	1 Tier	6
2	Tom Brady	Patriots		8
3	Drew Bress	Saints		5
4	Kurt Warner	Cardinals	2 Tier	4
5	Philip Rivers	Chargers		5
6	Tony Romo	Cowboys		6
7	Donovan McNabb	Eagles		4
8	Aaron Rodgers	Packers		5
9	Jay Cutler	Bears	3 Tier	5
10	Matt Ryan	Falcons		4
11	Ben Roethlisberger	Steelers		8
12	Matt Cassel	Chiefs		8
13	Carson Palmer	Bengals		8
14	Eli Manning	Giants		10
15	Matt Schaub	Texans		10
16	Joe Flacco	Ravens		7
17	Matt Hasselbeck	Seahawks		7
18	David Garrard	Jags	4 Tier	7
19	Trent Edwards	Jets		9
20	Kerry Collins	Titans		7
21	Chad Pennington	Dolphins		6
22	Mark Bulger	Rams		9
23	Kyle Orton	Broncos		7
24	Jason Campbell	Redskins		8
25	Jake Delhomme	Panthers		4
26	JaMarcus Russell	Raiders		9
27	Byron Leftwich	Bucs	5 Tier	8
28	Shaun Hill	49ers		6
29	Brady Quinn	Browns		9
30	Sage Rosenfels	Vikings		9
31	Michael Vick	Eagles		4
32	Mark Sanchez	Jets		9
33	Matt Stafford	Lions		7
34	Luke McCown	Bucs		8
35	Tarvaris Jackson	Vikings		9
36	Dante Culpepper	Lions		7
37	Derek Anderson	Browns		9
38	Alex Smith	49ers		6
39	Matt Leinart	Cardinals		4
40	Vince Young	Titans		7
41	Tyler Thigpen	Chiefs		8
42	Damon Huard	49ers	6 Tier	6
43	Jeff Garcia	Raiders		9
44	Chris Simms	Broncos		7
45	Kellen Clemens	Jets		9
46	Josh McCown	Panthers		4
47	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Bills		9
48	Chad Henne	Dolphins		6
49	Billy Volek	Chargers		5
50	Dan Orlovsky	Texans		10
51	Seneca Wallace	Seahawks		7

The Counselor is OUT:

Fantasy Thoughts

The Counselor is IN:

1) Know your league rules and scoring

2) Draft the best player available in draft leagues

3) In an auction league, don’t be afraid to spend your cash on studs while watching for steals and upside players

4) Make your own draft lists custom to your league.

5) Don’t be afraid to be flexible during the draft- each draft plays out differently-

6) Live drafts and auctions are better than online so if you have not experience a live one, join with some friends and have fun

7) Remember that top tier running backs are a premium but be aware of the RB that are 29 and older

8) WRs and defenses are the least consistent of fantasy players

9) Kickers are a dime a dozen.

10) Have fun.

The Counselor is OUT:

Tony Romo: Fantasy Stud or Dud?

The Counselor is IN:

Last year many fantasy experts ranked Tony Romo as a top 3 QB. This year Romo finds himself on the list to avoid and has dropped to the second or even third tier QBs and often out of the top 10. This is understandable when you compare his 2007 stats with 36 touchdown passes to last year's 26 tds. He did lower his interceptions from 19 to 14 but he lost 5 more fumbles in 2008.

Last year, many believed that Tony had his coming out in 2007. Now many of those same people are claiming that last season was the real Tony Romo and 2007 was a fluke. What is the real truth and what can we expect out of Tony for the 2009 NFL season?

My views on Romo might be tainted. I am a huge Cowboys fan (please don't hold it against me). I love the style of play of Romo on the field but do think he needs to reign it in a bit and more often take what is given to him rather than looking for the big play. That being said, I am trying to look at this from a pure fantasy perspective and not what I want see out of Romo.

Romo was injured in 2008 and missed three games. If you project out his average from last year over those three games he missed, Romo would have finished with 32 touchdowns and over 4200 yards (about the same as 2007 yards). Those are very good fantasy numbers. The only QBs to pass for more yards were Bress, Warner and Cutler in 2008. Rivers, Brees, and Warner were the only QB with more than 32 TDs.

As most fantasy experts are quick to point out, Romo did lose his best wide receiver in T.O. Owens accounted for ten touchdowns last year. Losing his best wide out could not help Romo's numbers, could it?

In 1995, the year Sterling Sharpe retired, Favre's stats increased with 5 more touchdowns and almost 600 more yards. I am not directly comparing Romo to Favre but there are some similarities. They both have similar style of play. They both had receivers that demanded the ball to be happy. They both forced numerous passes to that receiver that they should not have thrown. Both of the wide receiving corps were/are lacking a true WR1 without those WR stars. In one way Romo is better off than Favre was in 1995, he still has Jason Witten.

The Cowboys should be focusing on running the ball more often this season. They have a three headed monster in Barber, Felix Jones, and Choice. The renewed focus on the run should free up some of the receivers. All three of the runningbacks are capable receivers. If Felix catches the ball in the backfield or a quick route, he could easily take it to the house with his quickness. I think this will only benefit Romo's fantasy numbers.

I believe WR Roy Williams will make great strides this year. He spent a large amount of time with Romo working on plays and timing during the off season. He has had an opportunity to learn the playbook. He will not replace Owens but he should make the loss of Owen less painful for Romo's stats.

I am projecting Romo as a top tier QB this year. He would be at the end of my top tier but still a top guy. I can see him having 32 TDs and 4000 yards once again. This should be in the top 5 for both TD's and yards. He will have around 18 turnovers and that will drop him below guys like Brady, Peyton, and Brees but he should be in the same breath as these guys.

I would not draft Romo too early. He is lasting to the middle of the forth round in most current mock drafts . Do not take him before Brady, Brees, or Peyton. If they are off the board, then I would feel comfortable selecting him. I would continue to watch the trends and projections. If Romo continues to get blasted by the experts then you should be able to pick him up even later or for less $ in an auction league.

Unlike most other fantasy experts, I have Romo on the "pickup as a slight sleeper list" instead of the "avoid like the plague list". Only time will tell if I have read the tea leaves correctly or if I was just drinking the Blue and Silver Kool-Aid.


The Counselor is OUT:

The Fantasy Counselor is back

The Counselor is IN:

My wife and I had our second child, a little boy, three months ago. I forgot how much work a little one can be. Because my wife works in the evenings and I was getting around 4 hours sleep a night, I did not make opportunity to keep up this blog. My son is now sleeping much better which means I am not as exhausted and I have a bit more time.

From here out, you can expect regular updates to the Fantasy Sports Counselor and just in time for Fantasy Football prep. You will be given cheatsheets, articles on players, strategies and much more over the next two months. During the season will have the usual articles including my weekly fantasy injury report (and twice a week when there are early games)

Stay tuned for an article later this week on Tony Romo. I will be analyzing his value as a fantasy player and where I rank him among other QBs. We will examine what I believe the Cowboys can expect from his season. I will give my thoughts about his value in the Post TO era.

The Counselor is OUT:

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